NFL Football Gambling Tips

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NFL Football Gambling - Free Winning Tips

Your goal should be to grind out a profit over the course of the season while enjoying watching football. Football betting should never be viewed in terms of "Getting Rich Quick."

Successful football betting requires hard work & homework.

Make betting decisions based on team emotion & situation, current angles & relevant trends, and talent & coaching.

Be smarter than the public. If 90% of the public says one team is a lock this week, the other team is probably the side to PLAY (especially in Pro Football). The average gambler cannot beat the sports book. If they could, there would be no sportsbooks.

Don't bet with your heart and your emotions.

Start with a bankroll that you are comfortable with. Set an amount that, if you lose some or all, it will not affect your standard of living.

Set a dollar amount to a per unit amount, for example: 1 unit = $100.00. Never bet over 4-6% of your bankroll on a single wager.

Find an online sportsbook offering excellent lines, bonuses and customer service. We recommend GameDay - click here to see for yourself.

Do not increase wagers during losing streaks.

Do not be conservative during winning streaks.

Establish a line of your own on every college and pro game that you feel comfortable with. Then compare to the posted betting line at one of the best sports books. Throw out any emotional games. Then study the ones that are significantly different from the posted odds - these have the best chance of being your winners.

College Football Handicapping

1. One Game Does Not A Season Make
Alway approach football betting in terms of an entire season or seasons. One or two losing weekends should never spell disaster - off weeks are an inevitable part of sports gambling. Successful bettors "grind out" their winnings over the course of the season. In other words, don't try for the big kill on one game - simply set your goals (and your money management systems) to win more games than you lose over the long haul.

2. Early Season Pointspread and Money Line Value
Look for excellent moneyline and point spread values early in the season, before the odds makers have had a chance to "catch up" with which teams are hot and which teams are not. Start your football handicapping analysis during the summer so you'll be ready to take full advantage of the first few weeks of the season.

3. Bet Quality, Not Quantity
Narrow your weekly betting choices down to no more than 5 - 7 games per week. It's a rare week when more than a few games will stand out as good wagering values. Find these games and you'll better your odds of winning more than you lose.

4. Shop For The Best Odds and Lines
With hundreds of online sportsbooks and more springing up every season, college football lines and point spreads will vary from casino to casino. Be certain that you are getting the best odds for your betting dollars. We've examined most of the online betting sites and have found that none consistently match the quality service and excellent betting lines offered by GameDay Sportsbook and Casino. Click here to check them out for yourself.

5. History Does Not Always Repeat Itself
Basically, there are three types of handicapping - Objective, Emotional and Historical. Objective handicapping analyzes the current strengths, weaknesses, and overall talent of a team. Emotional handicapping looks at factors such as let-downs after a big game, looking ahead to a huge rivalry game, and payback to a team that rubbed it in late in last year's game. Historical handicapping is based on past performances and things like a team having a record of 12 and 1 against the spread in their last 13 games on turf.

Focus primarily on Objective and Emotional analysis - these are the truest indicators of a teams current level of performance. Historical handicapping has a way of jumping up and biting you as soon as you lay down a huge wad based on some ridiculous set of stats.

Never put too much stock in a team's performance in a single game. Much to the bookmakers' delight, most gamblers are enticed by a team who looked great the previous week. The oddsmakers will adjust the lines to reflect this effect, and in the process the team in question will have poor line value. Plus, last week's "great" team usually comes back down to earth the following week and fails to cover.

How to Make Better Picks

#1 - Initial NFL Picks:
As early in the week as possible, make a list of the coming games and make your selections. Go with your best guess, gut feeling, or whatever. Skip the games about which you are unsure. In making NFL picks, whether you are an expert or someone who just likes to watch a game now and then, your first decision is often best.

#2 - The Undecideds:
Go back and mark those NFL picks you are not sure about with a question mark. With fewer decisions remaining, the focus on these games is increased.

#3 - Pondering:
Tuck your list into a convenient pocket and carry it with you. Look it over several times a day. A minute or two twice a day is far more helpful than an hour of study.

#4 - Gather Information:
Read newspapers. If you come to know a given sports writer, you will be able to pick up on the difference between his facts and opinions, and on any bias present. And some publish their NFL picks. There are some shows on TV that may help. Your best bet may be the web. Sites such as CNN, CBS, and Nando.Net are very informative. What others have to say is particularly helpful in thinking about teams you do not follow or do not know much about.

#5 - Argue:
Get into it about your undecided picks with a friend, or anyone interested. Or argue with yourself! "The Bears will stomp Detroit." "No they won't. Here's why." "How come I can't make a simple decision like this?" While this may seem an odd or novel idea, it is a real winner. It dramatically increases the focus on the undecided games. And the greater the focus, the more likely your final pick will be the right one.

#6- The Line:
If it drops, then heavy bucks have been placed on the underdog. If it goes up, those bucks are going to the favorite. While public opinion may mean little in many cases, this part of the public is backing their opinion with dollars. If in doubt, you may want to go along.

#7 - Decisions:
Make decisions as possible. Every undecided you cross off the list leaves one less pick to think about and increases the focus on those remaining. As the list gets shorter, you can run down it mentally without even looking at it.

#8 - Avoid Changes:
Be hesitant to change any decision already made; more often than not it will be a loser. This seems particularly true in making NFL picks.

#9 - Put It Off:
Make final decisions on the remaining undecided picks as late in the week as possible. The greater the time between your initial consideration and final decision, the greater the focus, and the better the pick. A Note: There are lots of explanations as to why the idea of increasing focus works. Many great minds have considered unconscious thinking, instinct, intuition, and related concepts. And many have done so at considerable length. While not all agree about how it works, most agree that anything that brings a greater focus on a decision, increases the chance the final choice will be the best available.

Once you've made your picks, be sure to bet online with a sportsbook you can trust ... Click here for the most-respected football betting on the internet!

 


 

 

 

 

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